What's stalling global climate science just before a critical review?

Max Simonsson profile image Max Simonsson Published: Last edited: Read: 3 min
Bright and elegant view of the French National Assembly's rich interior with red seats and ornate decor.
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The global fight against climate change is seeing mixed results, with significant progress in some areas alongside worrying setbacks. Northeastern U.S. states are strengthening their carbon market rules to drastically cut emissions, while Portugal expands its voluntary market to boost forest-based carbon capture. However, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) faces a critical deadlock, threatening the timeline for its next major scientific report, which is vital for upcoming global climate reviews. Meanwhile, some European nations are pushing back on climate regulations, and Swiss voters rejected a key climate fund, highlighting ongoing challenges in securing unified action against global warming.

Good news comes from carbon markets where action is picking up. States in the Northeastern U.S. are taking a strong stance, finalizing new rules for their Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI). These changes, effective January 1, 2027, will significantly reduce emissions by 2037 and stop the use of offsets for compliance, making the system much more impactful in the fight against climate change, as detailed by the International Emissions Trading Association (IETA). Across the Atlantic, Portugal is boosting its voluntary carbon market by adding new ways to create credits for reforestation and better forest management. This move, announced by Portugal’s Ministry of the Environment and Energy, aims to attract more private funding for nature-based solutions, which are crucial for achieving carbon neutrality and protecting our precious forests.

However, not all climate news is positive. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the world's leading scientific body on climate, recently had to suspend a key meeting. This unprecedented stalemate, which Reuters reported on earlier, threatens to delay the release of its next major assessment report. This delay could mean we won't have the most up-to-date scientific information when countries review global climate progress in 2028. The core of the issue seems to be a disagreement over when to publish reports on climate impacts, adaptation, and mitigation, with some nations pushing for a later date. This situation is particularly concerning given the urgent need for clear, scientific guidance to tackle global warming.

Further challenges are emerging in Europe. Countries like Italy, Germany, and Belgium are pushing the European Union to ease up on climate regulations. They argue that strict rules hurt industrial competitiveness and are calling for an 'emergency brake' on new legislation, as reported by Euronews. Similarly, in Switzerland, voters decisively rejected a fund designed to finance climate transition efforts. A report by SWI swissinfo.ch revealed concerns about costs and competing national priorities. These developments highlight the ongoing tension between economic concerns and the urgent need for decisive climate action across the continent.

Despite these headwinds, there's continued movement in carbon markets and related strategies. The European Commission is gathering public input on its Emissions Trading System until November 3, aiming to refine rules for industries like aviation and shipping. A new report from Abatable shows that companies buying carbon credits are increasingly looking for projects with high integrity and retiring credits more often. Additionally, a study by the World Resources Institute (WRI) indicates that carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies are gaining momentum globally, offering promising new ways to pull CO2 out of the atmosphere and achieve decarbonization goals.